Nature Communications
Headey, D. D., Ruel, M. T.
2022-04-20
Article on the impact of severe negative economic shock on child acute malnutrition (wasting), a major risk factor for under-5 mortality. In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) macroeconomic volatility is common, and severe negative economic shocks can substantially increase poverty and food insecurity. Less well understood are the implications of these contractions for child wasting. This study explores the nutritional impacts of economic growth shocks over 1990–2018 by linking wasting outcomes collected for 1.256 million children from 52 countries to lagged annual changes in economic growth. Estimates suggest that a 10% annual decline in national income increases moderate/severe wasting prevalence by 14.4–17.8%. An exploration of possible mechanisms suggests negative economic shocks may increase risks of inadequate dietary diversity among children. Applying these results to the latest economic growth estimates for 2020 suggests that COVID-19 could put an additional 9.4 million preschoolers at risk of wasting, net of the effects of preventative policy actions.
- COVID-19 Pandemic
- Economic
- Food Insecurity
- Health
- Nutrition
- Other Crises
- Social Support and Protection
- Africa
- Asia
- Caribbean
- Central Africa
- Central America
- Central Asia
- East Africa
- Global
- Horn of Africa
- Latin America
- Middle East
- North Africa
- South America
- South Asia
- Southeast Asia
- Southern Africa
- Sub-Saharan Africa
- West Africa
- Children (boys and/or girls 1-10 years old)
- Children <5 years old
- Households
- Mothers
- Research
- Article
- Journal article