Back to search

IFPRI analyses: Country-level impacts of high food, fuel and fertilizer prices

Agrilinks, Feed the Future USAID Bureau for Resilience and Food Security, UK Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office, BMGF, IFPRI 2022-4-17
Agrilinks Activity Page comprising general resources and a series of global and country analyses looking at both impacts of the Ukraine war and global crises on food security, poverty, and food systems, as well as at policy options. The rise in global food, fuel, and fertilizer prices has been driven in large part by the fallout from the ongoing war in Ukraine and the sanctions imposed on Russia, although other factors, such as export bans, have also contributed to rising prices. For example, palm oil and wheat prices increased by 56 and 100% in real terms, respectively, between Jun 2021-Apr 2022. The price of crude oil and natural gas has also risen substantially, and the weighted average price of fertilizer has doubled. With these changes in global prices, many developing countries and their development partners are concerned about the implications for economic stability, food security, and poverty. The general resources include the Agrilinks Crisis in Focus landing page, the IFPRI food and fertilizer export restrictions tracker, a USAID-IFPRI event recording, an IFPRI policy seminar series page, and an IFPRI food prices page. The country analyses highlight completed analyses for 19 countries presented through briefs and slides. The IFPRI food prices page includes, among others, the same country briefs and slides, and additionally the global analyses.
  • COVID-19 Pandemic
  • Economic
  • Food Insecurity
  • Other Crises
  • Ukraine War
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • Bangladesh
  • Cambodia
  • Central Africa
  • Congo-Kinshasa (Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC))
  • East Africa
  • Egypt (Arab Republic)
  • Ethiopia
  • Ghana
  • Global
  • Horn of Africa
  • Kenya
  • Malawi
  • Mali
  • Myanmar
  • Nepal
  • Niger
  • Nigeria
  • Philippines
  • Rwanda
  • Senegal
  • South Asia
  • Southeast Asia
  • Southern Africa
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Tanzania (United Republic of)
  • Uganda
  • West Africa
  • Zambia
  • Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs)
  • Country-level population(s)
  • Policy
  • Research
  • Brief
  • Dashboard
  • Slide Deck
  • Video

Highlighted Sources

Asia and the Pacific regional overview of food security and nutrition 2022: Urban food systems and nutrition – Launch recording, Key messages & Full report

  • Policy
  • Research
  • Article
  • Press release
  • Report
  • Video
  • COVID-19 Pandemic
  • Economic
  • Food Insecurity
  • Health
  • Nutrition
  • Ukraine War
  • Women and/or Girls
2023-01-24
Press release on the launch and key messages of the fifth annual Asia-Pacific regional SOFI report. The report’s highlights capture the challenges and system-level determinants of unhealthy diets in urban areas, both regarding undernutrition and overweight. It presents, among others, data on food security and affordability and the state of progress on achieving the global nutrition targets. The findings profile various urban environments, interventions, experiences, and opportunities to innovate at multiple levels to transform urban areas into sustainable cities. A link to the report's virtual launch event is available including the recording, key messages, and full report. View Source

Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on diets, nutrition services & nutrition practices in UNICEF’s Eastern and Southern Africa Region (ESAR): Evidence from remote surveys

  • Research
  • Report
  • COVID-19 Pandemic
  • Economic
  • Food Insecurity
  • Health
  • Nutrition
  • Women and/or Girls
2023-01-01
Report on the impact of the COVID pandemic on diets, services, and practices in the Eastern and Southern Africa region. The report presents findings from remote surveys in six ESAR countries with data on breastfeeding, diet diversity, food consumption and insecurity, drivers of dietary changes, and disruptions to nutrition services. The survey provides important learning for the future use of remote methods for collecting nutrition data. Technical brief, pull report, and six country briefs are available. View Source

Economic shocks predict increases in child wasting prevalence

  • Research
  • Article
  • Journal article
  • COVID-19 Pandemic
  • Economic
  • Food Insecurity
  • Health
  • Nutrition
  • Other Crises
  • Social Support and Protection
2022-04-20
Article on the impact of severe negative economic shock on child acute malnutrition (wasting), a major risk factor for under-5 mortality. In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) macroeconomic volatility is common, and severe negative economic shocks can substantially increase poverty and food insecurity. Less well understood are the implications of these contractions for child wasting. This study explores the nutritional impacts of economic growth shocks over 1990–2018 by linking wasting outcomes collected for 1.256 million children from 52 countries to lagged annual changes in economic growth. Estimates suggest that a 10% annual decline in national income increases moderate/severe wasting prevalence by 14.4–17.8%. An exploration of possible mechanisms suggests negative economic shocks may increase risks of inadequate dietary diversity among children. Applying these results to the latest economic growth estimates for 2020 suggests that COVID-19 could put an additional 9.4 million preschoolers at risk of wasting, net of the effects of preventative policy actions. View Source